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Simulación del nivel de eliminación de sarampión y rubéola según la estratificación e interacción social (Simulating measles and rubella elimination levels according to social stratification and interaction)

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ID Minciencias: ART-0000754226-26
Ranking: ART-ART_A2

Abstract:

Objective The study was aimed at comparing measles and rubella disease elimination levels in a homogeneous and heterogeneous population according to socioeconomic status with interactions amongst lowand high-income individuals and diversity in the average number of contacts amongst them. Methods Effective reproductive rate simulations were deduced from a susceptibleinfected-recovered (SIR) mathematical model according to different immunisation rates using measles (1980 and 2005) and rubella (1998 and 2005) incidence data from Latin-America and the Caribbean. Lowand high–income individuals’ social interaction and their average number of contacts were analysed by bipartite random network analysis. MAPLE 12 (Maplesoft Inc, Ontario Canada) software was used for making the simulations. Results The progress made in eliminating both diseases between both periods of time was reproduced in the socially-homogeneous population. Measles (2005) would be eliminated in highand low-income groups; however, it would only be achieved in rubella (2005) if there were a high immunity rate amongst the low-income group. If the average number of contacts were varied, then rubella would not be eliminated, even with a 95 % immunity rate. Conclusion Monitoring the elimination level in diseases like measles and rubella requires that socio-economic status be considered as well as the population’s interaction pattern. Special attention should be paid to communities having diversity in their average number of contacts occurring in confined spaces such as displaced communities, prisons, educational establishments, or hospitals.

Tópico:

Virology and Viral Diseases

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Citations: 2
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Enlaces e Identificadores:

Minciencias IDART-0000754226-26Scienti ID0000754226-26Openalex URLhttps://openalex.org/W2235486340
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