This paper focuses on an approach to predict the temperature of a Photovoltaic panel under varying irradiation conditions in Cordoba, Colombia. The thermal model developed considers a heat transfer analysis in order to estimate the performance of a photovoltaic solar system due to local temperature variation. The heat transfer model analyzes the photovoltaic cell as a system exposed to radiation and natural convection by carrying out a first law energy balance which takes into account the radiation energy from the sun that hits