Logotipo ImpactU
Autor

Forecasting Selected Colombian Shares Using a Hybrid ARIMA-SVR Model

Acceso Abierto

Abstract:

Forecasting future values of Colombian companies traded on the New York Stock Exchange is a daily challenge for investors, due to these stocks’ high volatility. There are several forecasting models for forecasting time series data, such as the autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model, which has been considered the most-used regression model in time series prediction for the last four decades, although the ARIMA model cannot estimate non-linear regression behavior caused by high volatility in the time series. In addition, the support vector regression (SVR) model is a pioneering machine learning approach for solving nonlinear regression estimation procedures. For this reason, this paper proposes using a hybrid model benefiting from ARIMA and support vector regression (SVR) models to forecast daily and cumulative returns of selected Colombian companies. For testing purposes, close prices of Bancolombia, Ecopetrol, Tecnoglass, and Grupo Aval were used; these are relevant Colombian organizations quoted on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE).

Tópico:

Stock Market Forecasting Methods

Citaciones:

Citations: 38
38

Citaciones por año:

Altmétricas:

Paperbuzz Score: 0
0

Información de la Fuente:

SCImago Journal & Country Rank
FuenteMathematics
Cuartil año de publicaciónNo disponible
Volumen10
Issue13
Páginas2181 - 2181
pISSNNo disponible
ISSNNo disponible

Enlaces e Identificadores:

Artículo de revista