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When diversification clashes with the reinforcement heuristic: An experimental investigation

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ID Minciencias: ART-0000036474-8
Ranking: ART-ART_A1

Abstract:

I experimentally investigate how diversification decisions are affected by information about historical outcomes. In the experiment, subjects have the opportunity to diversify between two simple binary gambles. When subjects lack information about previous outcomes, a vast majority diversify. By contrast, only a minority diversify after learning that one of the gambles has experienced better outcomes than the other in the past. Subjects’ posterior beliefs about winning probabilities predict the propensity to diversify. However, most of the subjects who do not diversify tend to chase the gamble with better historical outcomes, regardless of their beliefs. This behavior is consistent with subjects following a reinforcement heuristic. © 2020 Elsevier B.V.

Tópico:

Consumer Market Behavior and Pricing

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Información de la Fuente:

SCImago Journal & Country Rank
FuenteJournal of Economic Behavior & Organization
Cuartil año de publicaciónNo disponible
Volumen174
IssueNo disponible
Páginas196 - 211
pISSNNo disponible
ISSN0167-2681

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