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Giving and receiving: Exploring the predictive causality between oil prices and exchange rates

Acceso Cerrado
ID Minciencias: ART-0001352349-77
Ranking: ART-ART_A2

Abstract:

Abstract We study the dynamic connectedness and predictive causality between oil prices and exchange rates. Our sample includes six important oil‐producing and six net importing countries. Our results show that for the first set of countries, oil prices are net spillover receivers from exchange rate markets. Similarly, there is evidence of bidirectional Granger causality, which is detected for longer time periods from these countries’ exchange rates to oil prices. In contrast, for the second set of countries, oil prices are net spillover transmitters, and the causality is stronger from oil prices to exchange rates, mainly in the aftermath of the Global Financial Crisis. However, even for this group of countries, there are long periods of time for which exchange‐rate markets transmit spillovers to oil markets. Overall, oil markets are net receivers of shocks during most of the sample period, thus providing evidence in favor of the oil‐financialization hypothesis.

Tópico:

Market Dynamics and Volatility

Citaciones:

Citations: 22
22

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Información de la Fuente:

SCImago Journal & Country Rank
FuenteInternational Finance
Cuartil año de publicaciónNo disponible
Volumen23
Issue1
Páginas175 - 194
pISSNNo disponible
ISSN1468-2362

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Artículo de revista