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Fitting the Incidence Data from the City of Campinas, Brazil, Based on Dengue Transmission Modellings Considering Time-Dependent Entomological Parameters

Acceso Abierto
ID Minciencias: ART-0000508918-28
Ranking: ART-ART_A1

Abstract:

Four time-dependent dengue transmission models are considered in order to fit the incidence data from the City of Campinas, Brazil, recorded from October 1st 1995 to September 30th 2012. The entomological parameters are allowed to depend on temperature and precipitation, while the carrying capacity and the hatching of eggs depend only on precipitation. The whole period of incidence of dengue is split into four periods, due to the fact that the model is formulated considering the circulation of only one serotype. Dengue transmission parameters from human to mosquito and mosquito to human are fitted for each one of the periods. The time varying partial and overall effective reproduction numbers are obtained to explain the incidence of dengue provided by the models.

Tópico:

Mosquito-borne diseases and control

Citaciones:

Citations: 46
46

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Información de la Fuente:

SCImago Journal & Country Rank
FuentePLoS ONE
Cuartil año de publicaciónNo disponible
Volumen11
Issue3
Páginase0152186 - e0152186
pISSNNo disponible
ISSNNo disponible

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