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On the Stability and Equilibrium Points of Multistaged S I (n )R Epidemic Models

Acceso Abierto
ID Minciencias: ART-0001493627-10
Ranking: ART-ART_B

Abstract:

This paper relies on the concept of next generation matrix defined ad hoc for a new proposed extended SEIR model referred to as<mml:math xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" id="M2"><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mi>I</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo><mml:mi>R</mml:mi></mml:math>-model to study its stability. The model includes<mml:math xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" id="M3"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math>successive stages of infectious subpopulations, each one acting at the exposed subpopulation of the next infectious stage in a cascade global disposal where each infectious population acts as the exposed subpopulation of the next infectious stage. The model also has internal delays which characterize the time intervals of the coupling of the susceptible dynamics with the infectious populations of the various cascade infectious stages. Since the susceptible subpopulation is common, and then unique, to all the infectious stages, its coupled dynamic action on each of those stages is modeled with an increasing delay as the infectious stage index increases from 1 to<mml:math xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" id="M4"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math>. The physical interpretation of the model is that the dynamics of the disease exhibits different stages in which the infectivity and the mortality rates vary as the individual numbers go through the process of recovery, each stage with a characteristic average time.

Tópico:

Mathematical and Theoretical Epidemiology and Ecology Models

Citaciones:

Citations: 16
16

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Información de la Fuente:

SCImago Journal & Country Rank
FuenteDiscrete Dynamics in Nature and Society
Cuartil año de publicaciónNo disponible
Volumen2015
IssueNo disponible
Páginas1 - 15
pISSN1026-0226
ISSNNo disponible

Enlaces e Identificadores:

Scienti ID0001493627-10Minciencias IDART-0001493627-10Openalex URLhttps://openalex.org/W1504096751
Open_access URLhttps://downloads.hindawi.com/journals/ddns/2015/379576.pdfDoi URLhttps://doi.org/10.1155/2015/379576
Artículo de revista